Bitcoin Dominance (1M) a multi-year structural pattern with MACD
1️⃣ Macro Structure: Lower Highs + Ascending Support
Bitcoin Dominance has been forming:
✔ Descending trendline of lower highs (2017 → 2021 → 2025)
✔ Rising major support (long-term uptrend on lows)
This creates a large symmetrical wedge structure. Each time price hits the upper resistance, a strong rejection follows.
2️⃣ MACD Signals Confirm Top Rejection
Every dominance cycle peak shows a:
🔸 Monthly MACD Bearish Cross
Shown in:
✔ Late 2017
✔ Early 2021
✔ Now — 2025 cross forming
MACD momentum is rolling over → signaling shift from BTC to altcoins
3️⃣ Market Implication
Historically when BTC dominance falls:
🚀 Capital flows from BTC → Altcoins
🔥 Strong alt seasons follow
💡 Smart time for rotation strategies
🎯 Key Probable Path
If the pattern repeats:
📌 Dominance drop target: ≈ 45% – 47%
📌 Altcoins market cap expansion: +200–500% (historical behavior)
📌 Duration: ~12-18 months based on cycle symmetry
Biggest winners typically:
ETH-led majors
High-liquidity mid caps
AI, RWA, Gaming sectors (cycle hype rotation)
4️⃣ Additional Observations
⚠️ BTC dominance long-term support (yellow trendline) is approaching
Meaning:
➡ First: Altseason mania
➡ Then: Possible cycle top market-wide
📌 Final Bias
Bitcoin Dominance chart strongly supports:
“Altseason Phase is starting — Bitcoin dominance has topped.”
🟢 Accumulation of strong alts
🟡 Reduce BTC overweight
🔴 Watch for dominance breakdown confirmation below 58%
Every time dominance peaks, altcoins explode… Then the floor disappears.
The clock is ticking.
This signal has never missed.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTC.D/yrDd6VIn-Bitcoin-Dominance-1M-a-multi-year-structural-pattern-with-MACD/
No comments:
Post a Comment