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Sunday, April 19, 2026

US Dollar Forecast: DXY Falls as Ceasefire Lifts Risk, Fed Cut Bets Rise - FXEmpire

We need large timeframes.

We need large timeframes.

Every trader believes that they understand the pattern correctly. I won't argue that I'm better at it than others, but I'm wary of drawing giant triangles and megaphones that date back to 2016. Let's focus on the channel. We're dealing with a channel. The channel has been breached, but it hasn't led to a rapid decline. What might be missing? There's a lack of evidence that the dominance can't jump back into the channel. We need a retest of the channel's bottom from the opposite side. Based on my experience, we won't end with just one candle. BTC.D will approach the channel from the opposite side and "creep" along it with a series of candles. Eventually, it's likely to collapse. However, we should focus on the 1M chart, as the peak events for the altseason may be postponed for another year. In April 2027, the red cloud will transition into the green cloud, and the area where the clouds change is often the area of breakout. I've seen this many times. However, the Dominance may start moving in that direction this year.



source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTC.D/xWIdcZns-We-need-large-timeframes/

From 120K to Silence What Is Really Driving This Market?!

From 120K to Silence What Is Really Driving This Market?!

In the past months, after the drop from 120K on BTC, you may have noticed that some tickers made insane pumps. Among them are SIREN and RIVERUSD RAVEUSDT.P and other like STOUSDT , and many others.

The point I want to discuss here is that exchanges seem to be attracting traders’ attention through these pumps. If you look closely and do some basic research, even during the BTC run to 120K, Google Trends was almost flat, showing no real surge in public interest. This says a lot about how people are currently interacting with the crypto market.

Yes, institutions have entered the market with their own agendas. But even among them, some are already taking losses, though it does not seem to affect them. Large portfolios can adapt and stay flexible in ways that retail traders cannot.

What concerns me more is the behavior of certain tokens that achieve gains of over +3000%, only to lose everything within days.

These kinds of moves and sharp sell offs make it difficult to enter or manage positions. It raises a real question. Are platforms playing a role in this to maintain high daily trading volume and guide the market where they want?

There are many questions, especially since we did not see a true altcoin season in the last cycle, even though BTC kept making new highs.

Is confidence in the crypto market still strong?
Will altcoins play a role in the next cycle, or is there no real cycle ahead?
Have altcoins been replaced by new tokens that are heavily oversupplied and quickly lose their value?

Do you remember the crash in 2025 linked to Binance, which wiped out many accounts? That long wick we still see across many altcoins is something the market has not fully recovered from.

There are many questions and possibilities. The coming days will bring answers that could be disappointing, shocking, or maybe even offer some hope.

Either way, we keep doing our best.

we ask Allah reconcile and repay



source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/RAVEUSDT.P/RM5Hkspe-From-120K-to-Silence-What-Is-Really-Driving-This-Market/