XAUMO XAUUSD (Gold Spot) ANALYSIS | AUG 01, 2025 | CAIRO TIME GM

XAU/USD Spot FX:XAUUSD

ICHIMOKUontheNILE

This is a stealth bullish accumulation day. Market maker completed a fake drop and now prepping breakout. Play long bias from control zone with stop-hunt fade backup. Schabacker would call this a false breakdown spring + congestion base rally.

XAUUSD (Gold Spot) ANALYSIS | AUG 01, 2025 | CAIRO TIME GMT+3

🔍 Multi-Timeframe Technical Breakdown (Daily → 5m)

1️⃣ Price Action & Patterns
Daily: Bullish rejection tail forming (pin bar) off VAL (3,288). Strong buyer defense.
4H: Classic bullish engulfing off VAL support. High rejection wick to downside. Micro-structure shows market maker trap.
1H: V-shape recovery seen. Absorption bar confirmed via footprint delta spike.
15m: Buyers stepping in at POC (3,289.35), stealthy buying—confirmed by divergence between delta & price.
5m: Accumulation in box range between 3,289–3,292. High absorption on bid side, low offer lifting—sign of stealth long build.

2️⃣ Volume & Delta Footprint

• POC Cluster across all TFs: 3,289.00–3,291.50 is the control zone.
  
• Volume Node Rejection at 3,288 = confirmed buyer base.
  
• Delta: Absorption → sellers hitting bids but no follow-through = market maker trap → bullish implication.
  
• Volume Spike at 3,288 = fakeout move likely manipulated to hunt stops.

3️⃣ Support/Resistance

• VAL: 3,288 🔥 Strong Demand Zone
  
• POC: 3,289.35–3,291.75 🧠 Smart Money Zone
  
• VAH: 3,292.80 🎯 Break above confirms momentum
  
• Res. Extension: 3,296.20, 3,300
  
• Fibonacci Confluence: 3,288 = 61.8% golden retracement from recent rally
  

5️⃣Volatility

1. Compression near VAH = Volatility Expansion imminent.
   
2. Expect Breakout in next 1–2 hours (likely post 09:00 Cairo Time – Kill Zone)
   

6️⃣ Market Maker Philosophy

• Last 3 days show liquidity vacuum trap below 3,288.
  
• MM has triggered stop hunts to shake weak longs.
  
• Building long inventory stealthily under POC.
  
• Expecting rally trap to suck in breakout buyers → then retrace → final breakout continuation.
  

🧨 JEWEL TRADE ENTRY (Highest Probability)
📈 Order: Buy Stop
🎯 Entry: 3,293.10
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,287.70
💰 Take Profit: 3,302.40
📊 Confidence: 87%
🧠 Justification: Breakout of VAH/Golden Zone + High Volume Node = Trend Shift Confirmed

This is for EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY, and not financial advise.

source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/diOrnAYm-XAUMO-XAUUSD-Gold-Spot-ANALYSIS-AUG-01-2025-CAIRO-TIME-GM/