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Showing posts with label Smart. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Smart. Show all posts
Saturday, November 15, 2025
Cybersecurity Risks in the Global Trading System
Cybersecurity Risks in the Global Trading System
Nifty 50 Index NSE_DLY:NIFTY
1. The Expanding Digital Surface in Global Trade
Global trading relies on a complex chain of platforms—financial exchanges, trading terminals, cloud infrastructures, payment gateways, supply chain networks, and digital customs systems. Every connection in this chain increases the vulnerability of the whole system.
More digital touchpoints mean more entry points for cybercriminals. For example:
Online brokerage accounts
Automated trading algorithms
Cross-border settlement systems
Mobile trading apps
Global supply chain tracking portals
Cloud-based trade documentation
Attackers know that if they can disrupt even one part of this ecosystem, they can trigger large-scale consequences across multiple industries and countries.
2. Market Manipulation Through Cyber Attacks
One of the biggest risks in global trading is market manipulation through cyber intrusions. Hackers can exploit vulnerabilities in trading platforms or exchange servers to influence market movements.
Examples include:
Placing fake orders (spoofing or layering) using hacked accounts to create artificial price movements.
Manipulating trading algorithms by feeding them false data.
Attacks on stock exchanges causing temporary shutdowns, leading to panic selling.
Tampering with price feeds from data vendors like Bloomberg or Reuters.
Even a short disruption can shake investor confidence, trigger flash crashes, or give attackers time to profit from insider-like information.
3. Threat of Data Theft and Espionage
Data is the new currency of global trade. Everything—from corporate strategies to trading volumes to supply chain details—is stored digitally. Cybercriminals and even nation-state actors target this information for espionage or financial advantage.
High-value targets include:
M&A details
Commodity shipment data
Pricing algorithms used by HFT firms
Trade secrets of manufacturing companies
Customer KYC and financial data
If such confidential information is stolen, it can be sold on dark markets, used for insider trading, or exploited to influence global business negotiations.
4. Ransomware Attacks on Enterprises and Exchanges
Ransomware has become one of the most destructive cyber threats in global trading. Hackers encrypt an organization’s entire system, demanding huge payments in cryptocurrencies.
Global commodity firms, logistics companies, and even national stock exchanges have been hit in recent years.
Ransomware can:
Halt clearing and settlement operations
Freeze trading terminals
Interrupt shipping and customs documentation
Shut down entire global supply chains
Cause billions in losses within hours
Even after systems are restored, trust in the institution often takes months to recover.
5. Risks in High-Frequency and Algorithmic Trading
High-frequency trading (HFT) systems operate at millisecond speeds, making them particularly vulnerable to cyber attacks.
Key risks include:
Algorithm hijacking – attackers modify trading logic to place harmful trades.
Latency attacks – slowing down competitor networks to gain advantage.
Fake signals – injecting misleading market data to trigger trades.
Because HFT systems can execute thousands of trades per second, a small tampering can cause huge financial losses or create market instability.
6. Vulnerabilities in Cross-Border Payments
International settlements rely heavily on platforms such as SWIFT. Although secure, they are not immune.
Cybercriminals have previously:
Sent fraudulent cross-border payment instructions
Manipulated bank records
Used malware to hide traces of transactions
If critical global payment systems are compromised, it could cause massive disruptions in global trade flows, affecting everything from currency markets to commodity exports.
7. Weak Security in Developing Countries
Not all countries have the same level of cybersecurity readiness. Many developing economies lack strong technological infrastructure, making them the weakest links in global trade networks.
Attackers often target:
Ports
Customs systems
Small banks
Logistics companies
Local trading platforms
Once inside, they pivot into larger international systems. Thus, global trade security is only as strong as its most vulnerable participant.
8. The Rise of Deepfakes and Digital Fraud
AI-driven deepfakes are creating a new category of risks. Attackers can impersonate:
CEOs giving fake instructions
Traders approving unauthorized transfers
Brokers sending fraudulent trade confirmations
Customs officials clearing illegal shipments
These scams can lead to multimillion-dollar losses and disrupt trust across trading partners.
9. Supply Chain Cyber Attacks
Modern supply chains rely heavily on digital systems to track shipments, verify documents, and streamline logistics. Cyber attacks on supply chains are rising sharply.
Forms of supply chain attacks:
Compromising software updates
Inserting malicious code into logistics platforms
Altering shipment data or container numbers
Shutting down port operations with malware
The 2021 global container backlog was partially worsened by cyber attacks on major ports and freight companies, showing how digital risks can directly impact physical trade.
10. Cyber Risks in Cryptocurrency and Blockchain-Based Trading
Global trade is slowly integrating blockchain for settlement and documentation. While blockchain is secure, the surrounding ecosystem—wallets, exchanges, smart contracts—remains vulnerable.
Risks include:
Smart contract hacks
Theft of crypto reserves
Manipulation of cross-chain bridges
Attacks on decentralized trading platforms
These attacks threaten the trust required for blockchain-based global trade systems.
11. Insider Threats
Not all cyber threats come from outside. Insiders—employees, disgruntled staff, or contractors—may:
Leak sensitive data
Install malware
Disable cybersecurity systems
Facilitate unauthorized trades
Insider attacks are highly dangerous because insiders already have access privileges.
12. Lack of Global Regulation and Standardization
Cybersecurity laws differ widely across countries. Some nations have strict guidelines; others have none. This lack of uniformity creates gaps that attackers exploit.
Global trading involves hundreds of jurisdictions, making it difficult to track:
Cross-border cyber criminals
Illegal digital trading operations
Data breaches occurring across multiple markets
Without global cooperation, cybercrime in trading continues to rise.
Conclusion
Cybersecurity risks in the global trading system are growing in scale, sophistication, and potential impact. As markets move toward algorithmic trading, real-time settlements, digital documentation, and borderless financial connectivity, attackers gain more opportunities to exploit weak points. The consequences are not limited to financial loss—they include geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, loss of investor confidence, and instability across global markets.
To protect the global trading ecosystem, organizations must invest in advanced cybersecurity frameworks, AI-powered threat detection, multi-layer authentication, secure supply chain software, and international cooperation. Ultimately, cybersecurity is no longer just an IT requirement—it is a core pillar of global economic resilience.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/SPaqqGka-Cybersecurity-Risks-in-the-Global-Trading-System/
Friday, November 14, 2025
A December US Fed Interest Rate Cut Is Now a Coin Toss - Morningstar Canada
• November 14, 2025, 9:40 am
• November 14, 2025, 9:25 am
• November 13, 2025, 9:17 pm
• November 13, 2025, 1:30 pm
• November 13, 2025, 1:10 pm
ESG and Carbon Credit Trading
ESG and Carbon Credit Trading
GBP/USD OANDA:GBPUSD
1. Understanding ESG: The Foundation of Sustainable Finance
ESG is a non-financial performance framework used to assess how responsibly a company operates. It focuses on:
E – Environmental Factors
These metrics measure a company’s impact on the planet. They include:
Carbon emissions and climate impact
Energy efficiency
Waste management
Water usage
Biodiversity protection
Pollution control
Climate change is the most critical element. Firms now face high scrutiny on their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, adaptation strategies, and long-term net-zero commitments.
S – Social Factors
The social dimension examines how companies interact with employees, communities, and society. Key aspects include:
Worker safety and labour rights
Diversity, equity, and inclusion
Data privacy and consumer protection
Supply chain ethics
Community engagement
In a highly interconnected world, social responsibility binds business reputation and long-term stability.
G – Governance Factors
Governance evaluates leadership and decision-making transparency. Metrics include:
Board independence
Executive compensation alignment
Anti-corruption policies
Audit reliability
Shareholder rights
Strong governance safeguards integrity and long-term investor trust.
2. Why ESG Matters in Today’s Economy
Over the last decade, ESG has transitioned from voluntary reporting to a powerful decision-making tool. Several factors drive this shift:
A. Investor Demand
Institutional investors, sovereign funds, and global asset managers increasingly screen companies based on ESG performance. Research consistently shows ESG-aligned companies have:
Better risk management
Lower capital costs
More resilient long-term returns
B. Regulatory Pressure
Governments and agencies such as the EU, SEBI, and the US SEC are enforcing climate disclosures and ESG reporting. Mandatory sustainability reporting frameworks are becoming standard.
C. Consumer and Market Trends
Millennial and Gen-Z consumers prefer responsible brands. Poor ESG performance can damage reputation, reduce sales, and increase operational risks.
D. Climate Risk as Financial Risk
Extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and climate-related disruptions directly impact supply chains and asset valuations. Investors now treat climate change as a core financial risk, not just an environmental concern.
3. Carbon Credits: The Backbone of Emission Reduction Mechanisms
Carbon credits, also called carbon offsets, represent the right to emit a certain amount of greenhouse gases. One carbon credit typically equals one metric ton of CO₂ or equivalent gases.
A. Why Carbon Credits Exist
They provide economic incentives for emission reduction by:
Penalizing heavy polluters
Rewarding businesses or communities that reduce or capture emissions
Encouraging clean technology adoption
Carbon credits make climate action financially attractive.
B. Two Types of Carbon Markets
Compliance Carbon Markets (CCM)
Governments regulate emissions through cap-and-trade systems.
Examples include:
EU Emission Trading System (EU ETS)
California Cap-and-Trade Program
China’s National ETS
Companies exceeding their emission limits must buy credits; those that emit less can sell surplus credits.
Voluntary Carbon Markets (VCM)
Corporations and individuals voluntarily purchase credits to offset their carbon footprint.
These credits come from projects such as:
Reforestation and afforestation
Renewable energy installations
Methane capture
Clean cookstove distribution
Soil carbon enhancement
4. How Carbon Credit Trading Works
Carbon credit trading functions like any commodity market. It involves buyers, sellers, brokers, exchanges, and registries.
A. The Process
A project developer undertakes an emission-reducing activity.
Third-party verifiers ensure the reductions are real, measurable, and permanent.
Credits are issued and listed on registries like Verra, Gold Standard, or CDM.
Credits are bought and sold through exchanges or bilateral contracts.
Buyers retire credits to offset their emissions.
B. Market Pricing
Carbon credit prices depend on:
Type of project
Verification standard
Location
Co-benefits (e.g., community health, biodiversity)
Market demand
Compliance markets generally have higher and more stable prices compared to voluntary markets.
5. ESG and Carbon Markets: The Powerful Connection
ESG reporting and carbon credit trading increasingly intersect.
A. Carbon Reduction as a Core ESG Metric
Environmental scores heavily weight carbon emissions. Firms must document:
Scope 1 emissions (direct)
Scope 2 (energy-related)
Scope 3 (supply chain)
Carbon credits help companies meet decarbonization targets when technological or logistical constraints prevent immediate on-site emission reductions.
B. Meeting Net-Zero Commitments
Many global corporations—Amazon, Microsoft, Tata, Reliance, Infosys—have pledged net-zero goals. Carbon markets allow them to:
Offset residual emissions
Finance climate-positive projects
Align with ESG mandates
C. Investor Judgement
ESG funds evaluate how sincerely companies reduce their carbon footprint. Genuine emission reductions score high; greenwashing is penalized.
6. Benefits and Challenges of Carbon Credit Trading
A. Benefits
Encourages global emission reduction
Carbon markets mobilize billions into climate projects.
Provides flexibility for businesses
Companies can balance cost-effective internal reductions with external offset purchases.
Supports developing countries
Offsets often fund renewable projects and forest conservation in countries like India, Brazil, and Kenya.
Creates new financial opportunities
Carbon credits are increasingly emerging as alternative assets.
B. Challenges
Greenwashing and Low-Quality Credits
Some credits do not represent actual emission reductions.
Price Volatility
VCM markets are unregulated and fluctuate widely.
Measurement Difficulties
Accurate carbon accounting is complex.
Double Counting Risks
Sometimes credits are claimed by multiple parties.
Despite challenges, constant improvements in standards, blockchain tracking, and regulatory frameworks are strengthening market credibility.
7. The Future of ESG and Carbon Markets
A. Mandatory Climate Reporting
Countries are moving toward standardized ESG disclosures. The International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) is shaping global norms.
B. Growth of Carbon Exchanges
Carbon trading platforms like:
ICE
CBL
Singapore’s CIX
India INECC (upcoming)
are making carbon trading more transparent and accessible.
C. Corporate Net-Zero Race
As more companies adopt science-based targets, demand for high-quality carbon credits will rise sharply.
D. Technology Integration
AI, satellites, and blockchain will enhance monitoring and verification accuracy, improving trust in credits.
E. Emergence of Nature-Based Solutions
Forests, soil carbon, and blue carbon (coastal ecosystems) will dominate future carbon offset strategies.
Conclusion
ESG and carbon credit trading have become essential components of the global transition toward sustainable economic development. ESG frameworks push companies to operate responsibly, while carbon markets provide financial incentives to reduce emissions and support climate-positive projects. Together, they drive a powerful synergy that aligns corporate behavior with global climate goals.
As regulations tighten, investor expectations rise, and technology improves, ESG integration and carbon trading will continue gaining importance. Businesses that adapt early will benefit from lower risks, greater investor confidence, and stronger long-term growth in the new sustainability-driven global economy.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPUSD/81qPgM9u-ESG-and-Carbon-Credit-Trading/
Thursday, November 13, 2025
Solana active addresses fall to 12-month low as memecoin frenzy fades - theblock.co
• November 12, 2025, 6:20 pm
• November 12, 2025, 2:54 pm
• November 12, 2025, 2:16 pm
• November 12, 2025, 1:56 pm
• November 12, 2025, 1:42 pm
GOLD
GOLD
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD
· Fed - slightly less dovish to hawkish tone - Previous months CPI data showed no reduction, increased from 2.9% to 3%, therefor during Oct FOMC, Powell had less dovish to slightly hawkish tone, indicating that they would like to see inflation come close to their target before considering any future rate cuts, also mentioned they will be data dependant and will need to see certain indicators (inflation) improve before can consider rate cuts. Since they wouldn’t want inflation to get out of hand again. This means DOLLAR stays bullish due to US yields remain high hence less investor outflows.
· Trade War optimism - Trump met with Xi and signed deals bringing optimism to markets, therefor investors back to risk on mode hence sell demand for safe havens.
· US shutdown - The only thing stopping us from expecting more rapid sells is the US shutdown which is still causing investors to be cautious and not as risk on, hence markets ranging a lot.
· Market whales betting on Poor US data - we know from recent headline that larger institutions are betting on the fact that the Fed will continue rate cuts even once the US shutdown ends because they think that the data will come in weak hence the Fed will have no choice but to continue its rate cuts to improve economic activity , This is the primary factor in play at the moment and hence the rally in gold since Monday.
GOLD-
1. Continuation buys if break and retest above 4220, targeting closer to previous ATH's.
2. If price holds below 42000 KL, can see more ranging and potential corrections to the downside for sells trades down to 4150.
Watching 4150 to see how price reacts, if confirmations for retests can take buys with trend for upside continuation. If breaks below, can play sells to lower demand zones.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/L6I8siQu-GOLD/
Wednesday, November 12, 2025
Dogecoin Rallies 6% to $0.181 as Trading Volume Surges Amid Renewed Meme Coin Momentum - Serrari Group
• November 12, 2025, 7:21 am
• November 12, 2025, 6:40 am
• November 12, 2025, 2:46 am
• November 11, 2025, 6:14 pm
• November 11, 2025, 6:14 pm
Oil Wars and Their Impact on the World Trade Market
Oil Wars and Their Impact on the World Trade Market
Bitcoin / U.S. dollar BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1. The Strategic Importance of Oil
Oil is the most traded commodity in the world. It accounts for a large share of global trade value and is a key determinant of national security and economic strength. Countries that possess abundant oil reserves—like Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United States, and Iran—often wield considerable influence over the global market. Conversely, oil-importing nations, such as India, Japan, and many European countries, are highly dependent on global oil supply stability and pricing.
Oil prices directly affect inflation, transportation costs, and industrial production. Therefore, any disruption—be it due to war, sanctions, or political instability—ripples through the world economy, impacting global trade flows, currency exchange rates, and stock markets.
2. Historical Background of Oil Wars
The link between oil and conflict dates back to the early 20th century. During both World Wars, control over oil supplies was critical for military success. Germany’s lack of oil access in World War II, for example, significantly weakened its war machine.
Later, the Arab-Israeli conflicts and the 1973 Arab Oil Embargo marked the first major energy crisis in modern history. In retaliation for Western support of Israel, OPEC nations reduced oil production, causing prices to quadruple and triggering global economic turmoil. The incident demonstrated how oil could be used as a political weapon in international trade.
In the late 20th century, the Gulf Wars—especially the 1990–91 conflict following Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait—were driven largely by control over oil resources. These wars disrupted oil exports from the Middle East, affected maritime trade routes, and led to sharp volatility in global markets.
3. Modern Oil Wars: Geopolitical Rivalries and Economic Strategy
Today’s oil wars are less about open military invasion and more about economic and political control. Major powers engage in “energy diplomacy” and sanctions, using oil as leverage. For example:
United States vs. Iran: The U.S. has imposed sanctions on Iranian oil exports to limit Tehran’s revenue and geopolitical influence. This restricts global supply and often causes short-term oil price spikes.
Russia vs. the West: The 2022 Russia–Ukraine war triggered one of the largest energy crises in recent decades. Western sanctions on Russian oil and gas reshaped trade routes and forced Europe to diversify its energy imports.
Saudi Arabia vs. U.S. Shale Producers: In 2014–2016, Saudi Arabia intentionally increased oil production to lower global prices, aiming to drive out high-cost American shale producers from the market. This “price war” destabilized oil-exporting economies and caused massive losses in the energy sector.
These modern conflicts are fought through production levels, price manipulation, and supply chain disruption rather than traditional warfare. Yet their effects on world trade are equally powerful.
4. Impact on Global Oil Prices
Oil wars create volatility—the most visible effect on the world market. When supply is threatened, prices surge; when production rises excessively, prices collapse.
For instance:
The 2022 Russia–Ukraine war pushed Brent crude prices above $120 per barrel—the highest in a decade.
Conversely, during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, an oil price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia led to an oversupply. Prices crashed, even turning negative in U.S. futures markets for a brief period.
Price volatility affects not only oil-producing nations but also global consumers. Transportation, manufacturing, and agriculture—all dependent on energy—face rising costs, which can slow economic growth and trade activity.
5. Effects on the Global Trade Market
a. Inflation and Cost of Goods
Oil price fluctuations directly influence inflation. When oil becomes expensive, transportation and manufacturing costs rise, increasing prices for goods globally. This reduces consumer demand and can lead to trade imbalances between nations.
b. Trade Deficits and Surpluses
Oil-importing countries spend more foreign currency on imports when prices rise, worsening their trade deficits. Conversely, oil-exporting countries gain trade surpluses and stronger currencies. For example, high oil prices benefit nations like Saudi Arabia, Norway, and Russia, but hurt countries like India and Japan.
c. Currency Movements
Oil wars also affect foreign exchange markets. The U.S. dollar, traditionally the benchmark currency for oil trading (the “petrodollar”), strengthens during global crises, while currencies of oil-importing nations often weaken. In contrast, oil-exporting countries’ currencies appreciate when prices rise.
d. Supply Chain Disruptions
Many shipping lanes and chokepoints—like the Strait of Hormuz or the Suez Canal—are located in oil-rich, politically unstable regions. Conflicts here disrupt maritime trade, delay shipments, and raise insurance costs for global exporters.
6. The Role of OPEC and Non-OPEC Nations
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), founded in 1960, remains central to global oil politics. Through coordinated production decisions, OPEC and its allies (collectively called OPEC+) attempt to stabilize prices and control supply. However, internal rivalries often lead to disputes and price wars.
Non-OPEC producers like the U.S. (via shale oil) and Russia challenge OPEC’s dominance, creating competitive dynamics that frequently spill into trade wars. Each side uses production adjustments and diplomatic alliances to secure their share of the global market.
7. Energy Transition and Future Oil Conflicts
As the world shifts toward renewable energy and climate-friendly policies, traditional oil producers face declining long-term demand. This transition could spark new forms of “energy wars,” as nations compete for dominance in emerging technologies like electric vehicles, hydrogen, and battery minerals.
For instance:
The U.S. and China are already in competition for control over rare earth elements used in clean energy systems.
Oil-exporting countries are diversifying their economies to reduce dependency, but instability could rise if revenues fall too quickly.
The future oil wars may thus be economic battles over energy influence rather than territorial control.
8. Global Economic Consequences
Oil wars have cascading effects across the global economy:
Stock Markets: Energy price volatility influences global indices. Rising oil prices often cause stock markets to decline due to higher business costs.
Commodity Prices: Oil affects other commodities like natural gas, metals, and agricultural goods, since energy is required for production and transport.
Investment Flows: Investors shift toward safer assets (like gold and U.S. Treasury bonds) during oil-related geopolitical tensions.
Developing Economies: Emerging markets reliant on oil imports suffer higher inflation, currency depreciation, and trade deficits during crises.
9. Case Studies: Notable Oil Conflicts
1973 Arab Oil Embargo: OPEC’s restriction on oil exports to the West quadrupled prices, leading to global recession and inflation.
1991 Gulf War: Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait disrupted oil supply and triggered U.S.-led military intervention, causing price surges.
2014–2016 Oil Price War: Saudi Arabia flooded the market to undercut U.S. shale, resulting in a 70% price drop.
2022 Russia–Ukraine War: Sanctions and supply restrictions reshaped the global energy trade, with Europe turning to U.S. and Middle Eastern suppliers.
10. Conclusion
Oil wars have always been more than just battles for resources—they are struggles for power, influence, and economic dominance. Every time an oil-producing nation faces conflict or sanctions, the repercussions are felt in trade balances, inflation rates, and financial markets worldwide. The volatility of oil prices remains one of the most significant risks to global economic stability.
As the world transitions toward renewable energy, new types of resource competition will emerge. But as long as oil remains the foundation of industrial energy, the geopolitics of oil will continue to shape the world trade market—deciding winners and losers in the global economic arena.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/33VkFinU-Oil-Wars-and-Their-Impact-on-the-World-Trade-Market/
Tuesday, November 11, 2025
Gold rises due to expectations of a Fed interest rate cut in December. By Kedia Advisory - Investing.com India
• November 11, 2025, 5:20 am
• November 10, 2025, 9:15 pm
• November 10, 2025, 1:24 pm
• November 10, 2025, 11:54 am
• November 10, 2025, 11:53 am
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD
EUR/USD OANDA:EURUSD
🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.15351
💰TP: 1.14184
⛔️SL: 1.15903
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇In the comments👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The euro price has returned to the 1.15500 - 1.16000 range, which is now acting as resistance. Selling trades can be actively looked for from this area, especially within the medium-term downward movement of this pair. The focus is on a breakout of the lower border of 1.15500 and a father move toward 1.14000.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️Updates on this idea can be found below👇
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/BUZnSlIT-Stop-Loss-Market-View-EURUSD/
Monday, November 10, 2025
ETHUSD
• November 9, 2025, 1:39 pm
• November 9, 2025, 11:40 am
• October 1, 2025, 7:00 am
• June 29, 2025, 7:00 am
• June 3, 2025, 7:00 am
Ethereum could once again outperform BTC
Ethereum could once again outperform BTC
Ethereum / Bitcoin BINANCE:ETHBTC
From a technical perspective, the ETH/BTC ratio appears ready to resume its upward movement after several weeks of consolidation. Both timeframes — daily and weekly — point to a bullish scenario for Ethereum against Bitcoin.
On the daily chart, the ratio is trading in an uptrend established since spring. The three green arrows mark successive rebounds on a solid ascending trendline. The next touchpoint, in November 2025, could show a precise rebound on this dynamic support, accompanied by a stabilization of momentum indicators (RSI and MACD). This setup suggests that the recent correction may be merely a pause before a new bullish impulse. As long as the ratio stays above 0.030 BTC, the structure remains constructive.
On the weekly chart, the long-term perspective reinforces this scenario. The ratio has formed a broad “cup” pattern, supported by an area identified as “Extreme Support” around 0.020 BTC. After several years of decline, Ethereum has regained relative positive momentum versus Bitcoin. A break above the 50-week moving average, followed by an orderly consolidation phase, could precede a new bullish extension toward the 0.045–0.05 BTC zone, or even higher in the medium term. Historically, every rebound from this support zone has been accompanied by a marked outperformance of ETH versus BTC.
ETF flows support the momentum
On-chain analysis and capital flows also reinforce this scenario. The chart of Ethereum spot ETF inflows and outflows shows a return of significant positive flows since mid-2025. After a period of net outflows during the summer, the trend has stabilized, reflecting renewed institutional interest. Historically, such inflows often precede sustained price increases for ETH.
In a context where Ethereum spot ETFs gain adoption and institutional demand grows, fundamentals support a recovery of the ETH/BTC ratio. If the current zone confirms its role as a floor, Ethereum could enter a new phase of outperformance versus Bitcoin in the coming weeks, supported both by technical structure and market flows.
DISCLAIMER:
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All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHBTC/nCxtJVOz-Ethereum-could-once-again-outperform-BTC/
Sunday, November 9, 2025
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped in the short term and is now reported at 99.41. - Bitget
• November 8, 2025, 1:33 pm
• November 7, 2025, 8:00 am
• October 8, 2025, 7:00 am
ETHUSD
ETHUSD
Ethereum / Dollar BITFINEX:ETHUSD
As shown by my other posts, I've been anticipating a second black swan event, similar to 2020. I believe this will be the final one of its kind for our generation...
I will not be shorting anything other than Ethereum. I think everyone that has a crypto as an investment, has ETH. Nobody knows why they have ETH, other than that it's good. I'm not saying ETH isn't good, it is, but almost nobody hold ETH actually knows why, other than they've heard that it's good.
For this reason, I believe when the selling begins, Ethereum will be one of the hardest hit assets, but have the most smooth selloff (minimal wicks). I have concentrated my efforts here, for a continuous trigger-short strategy.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSD/EvJpznWR-ETHUSD/
Saturday, November 8, 2025
DreadKongDotCom DMZ Game Playthrough 633
• November 7, 2025, 1:42 pm
• November 7, 2025, 12:07 pm
• November 7, 2025, 11:00 am
• November 6, 2025, 9:49 pm
• February 18, 2025, 8:00 am
Ethereum: The Jewel of the Money-Printing Era
Ethereum: The Jewel of the Money-Printing Era
Ethereum / U.S. dollar BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Ethereum has once again proven its resilience. After tagging new all-time highs near the $5,000 zone — right in line with prior expectations — the recent ABC corrective move down to the $3,000 region appears to be nothing more than a healthy reset within a much larger bullish cycle.
This correction has shaken out the weak hands while smart money quietly accumulates. On-chain data continues to show strong holding behavior among long-term wallets, with staking and Layer 2 growth tightening supply at a time when global liquidity is expanding again.
Let’s face it — we live in the money-printing era. Central banks can’t stop expanding balance sheets. Debt keeps climbing, interest payments grow unsustainable, and the only escape valve left is higher asset prices. In such an environment, scarce digital assets like Ethereum are not just speculative plays — they’re refuges from fiat decay.
Ethereum isn’t just a coin; it’s the backbone of decentralized finance, NFTs, and Web3. Every new wave of innovation still finds its way back to the ETH network, reinforcing its role as the digital oil of the new economy.
Technically, as long as the $3,000-$2,500 correction base holds, the next impulse wave could target $6,000 and beyond.
In a world drowning in printed money and endless debt, Ethereum remains the shining jewel — a true asset of the new financial order.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSD/bpuFfH3w-Ethereum-The-Jewel-of-the-Money-Printing-Era/
Friday, November 7, 2025
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$BTCUSD: Inside an ending diagonal
$BTCUSD: Inside an ending diagonal
Bitcoin / U.S. dollar BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTCUSD : I believe this is an expanded flat correction for a Wave ii since the July 2025 high. The expanded flat has completed Wave A down to the August 2025 low, Wave B up to the Oct 6 high and we have been in an ending diagonal for Wave C of this ending diagonal since Oct 6.
The ending diagonal has completed 3 waves at the $98K-ish low. We're now in Wave 4 to the trendline (probably above $107K). Afterwards, I expect a Wave 5 down as the very last leg of this correction since the July 2025 high. Wave 5 in an ending diagonal can be truncated. So I'm guessing, after reaching the down-sloping trendline to complete Wave 4, a pullback to between 50% retracement (between $104K to slightly exceeding $98K) would end the entire correction and start Wave III up to new ATHs.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/ug4tJgE6-BTCUSD-Inside-an-ending-diagonal/
Thursday, November 6, 2025
gold ranging
gold ranging
Gold vs US Dollar PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
gold has been ranging between 3990-3960
The week candle as well is still in dogi hence we have equal buyer and seller.
source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/brq2Vm0z-gold-ranging/
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