BTC Dominance | Winter "IS" Coming

Market Cap BTC Dominance, % CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D

VIPCryptoVault

Hello traders,

I have not check the BTC.D in a while, mainly because watching capital concentrate is never fun when your positions are bleeding.

BTC dominance on the higher timeframes continues to respect a long-term contracting channel. BTC.D has once again tapped the same descending trendline. Historically, that lead to the start of ALT season

The current break in internal structure shows that dominance has lost momentum, failed continuation, and is showing early signs of distribution. That happened twice before.

If history repeats, then:

- Q1, 2026 wil see some good ALT performance specially meme coins
- Liquidity will rotate aggressively
- Most ALTs will not make new ATHs

This phase will be your exit point. Most coins need more than 150% of current prices to visit previous ATH or make new ones. It will not happen, period.

Good Luck!

Please drop a like and share your thoughts traders.

source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTC.D/qJPaUQl2-BTC-Dominance-Winter-IS-Coming/

GOLD ANALYSIS 01/09/2026

Gold OANDA:XAUUSD

Signals_100pips

1. Fundamental Analysis:

a) Economy:
• USD: The USD is showing a mild recovery after the previous decline, mainly driven by technical correction and the market waiting for early-year data. There is still no strong catalyst to reverse the broader USD trend.
• U.S. Stock Market: Trading remains choppy with no clear direction. Capital flows are cautious, not strongly “risk-on.”
• FED: The FED maintains a cautious stance and has not signaled further tightening. Medium–long-term expectations still lean toward rate cuts → supportive for gold.
• TRUMP: No new policy actions with direct market impact. U.S. political factors are temporarily neutral.

b) Politics:
• Global geopolitical risks remain present. No major escalation, but sufficient to sustain defensive demand for gold.

c) Market Sentiment:
• Slight risk-off sentiment. Investors are not chasing prices (no FOMO), preferring to wait for pullbacks to buy → gold holds its value well despite USD recovery.

=> Conclusion: Sideways with an upward bias.

2. Technical Analysis (M15):
• Short-term trend: UPTREND
• Price is trading above EMA, with a clear Higher High – Higher Low structure.
• Current zone ~ 4475–4480 is a technical correction area after a strong rally.

=> Price is correcting within an uptrend, not a reversal.

RESISTANCE: 4,480 – 4,500 – 4,519
SUPPORT: 4,450 – 4,427 – 4,412

3. Previous Session (8/1/26):
• Gold corrected first, then rallied strongly from the 4412 low up to 4480.
• Strong bullish momentum with clear volume during the rally.
• Late-session mild pullback → healthy correction, no distribution signals.

4. Today’s Strategy (9/1/26):

🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4520 – 4518
• SL: 4524
• TP1: 4512
• TP2: 4506

🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4436 – 4440
• SL: 4432
• TP1: 4448
• TP2: 4456

source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/E5zKMefg-GOLD-ANALYSIS-01-09-2026/

Bitcoin Dominance showing us things ARE Very Different this time

Market Cap BTC Dominance, % CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D

Orriginal

There are so many things that ARE the same as previous cycles, to date.

And we have seemingly begun a draw down and even I am seeing possible similarities to the post 2021 ATH draw down.

But Bitcoin Dominance shows us a Glaring difference.
The chart above shows us the BTC.D PA and the Bitcoin Halving dates to ATH in Blue Boxes at the Top of chart
We have the ATH to ATH day count at the bottom of the Chart in blue Boxes.
Also At the Bottom of the Chart, in Yellow and orange boxes, we have the % draw down in BTC.D from the Halving date to the ATH

To the 2017 ATH after halving, we saw a -61.17% DROP in Bitcoin Dominance.
To the 2021ATH after halving, we saw a -42,53% DROP in Bitcoin Dominance.

From the Halving in April 2024 to the current ATH, we have a GAIN in BTC.D of 9.21%

The fact thaat Vitcoin is holding Dominance in the market is so incredably BULLISH and does lead to the possibility that the 4 year cucle has ended and we may well be entering a Super cycle.

We will not know if this has happened for a while.....But I am watching the Ascending channel closely on the Bitcoin charts.

New days maybe ahead

source https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTC.D/eCWctsGW-Bitcoin-Dominance-showing-us-things-ARE-Very-Different-this-time/